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On the choice of the method of dynamic rationing of energy resources in oil refineries

https://doi.org/10.25206/2588-0373-2024-8-2-5-12

EDN: QQHQHG

Abstract

The article discusses the possibility of calculating the expected energy demand based on big data and machine learning for the energy technological processes in oil refineries. In order to obtain predictive data, linear regression, machine learning, and neural networks are proposed to be used to build a mathematical model. The advantages and disadvantages of these methods are discussed, and the accuracy of the models is compared with the possibility of interpreting them. Thanks to the use of advanced statistical methods, the variability of energy consumption can be interpreted through factor analysis. Through pilot tests, the practical significance of these proposed methods for their practical use in an energy management system is demonstrated, as well as the transition to statistical control of the process.

About the Authors

V. R. Vedruchenko
Omsk State Transport University
Russian Federation

Vedruchenko Viktor Rodionovich - Doctor of Technical Sciences, Professor, Professor of Thermal Power Engineering Department, OSTU, OmSPIN-code: 1462-4926. AuthorID (SCOPUS): 6602803355.

Omsk, Marksa Ave, 35, 644046



E. M. Rezanov
Omsk State Transport University
Russian Federation

Rezanov      Evgeny        Mikhailovich - Candidate          of Technical Sciences, Associate Professor, Head of Thermal Power Engineering Department, OSTU, SPIN-code: 6614-1187. AuthorID (SCOPUS): 57208862428.

Omsk, Marksa Ave, 35, 644046



A. P. Starikov
Omsk State Transport University
Russian Federation

Starikov       Alexander    Petrovich - Candidate      of Technical Sciences, Associate Professor, Associate Professor of Thermal Power Engineering Department, OSTU, SPIN-code: 9393-7979.

Omsk, Marksa Ave, 35, 644046



A. V. Kushnarenko
Omsk State Transport University
Russian Federation

Kushnarenko Anton Vyacheslavovich - Graduate Student of Thermal Power Engineering Department, OSTU, SPIN-code: 2774-2204.

Omsk, Marksa Ave, 35, 644046



P. A. Surovtsev
Omsk State Transport University
Russian Federation

Surovtsev Pavel Alexandrovich - Post-graduate of Thermal Power Engineering Department, OSTU, SPIN-code: 8025-1774.

Omsk, Marksa Ave, 35, 644046



V. A. Kikhtenko
Omsk State Transport University
Russian Federation

Kikhtenko Vladimir Aleksandrovich - Post-graduate of Thermal Power Engineering Department, Omsk. SPIN-code: 6666-5647.

Omsk, Marksa Ave, 35, 644046



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For citations:


Vedruchenko V.R., Rezanov E.M., Starikov A.P., Kushnarenko A.V., Surovtsev P.A., Kikhtenko V.A. On the choice of the method of dynamic rationing of energy resources in oil refineries. Omsk Scientific Bulletin. Series Aviation-Rocket and Power Engineering. 2024;8(2):5-12. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.25206/2588-0373-2024-8-2-5-12. EDN: QQHQHG

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ISSN 2588-0373 (Print)
ISSN 2587-764X (Online)